QUNIE

NEWS RELEASE

2022.11.30

QUNIE estimates on courier delivery capacity by 2030
- Shortages of 58,000 truck drivers followed by insufficient vehicles from 2027 onward

QUNIE CORPORATION

Tokyo, Japan - November 30, 2022 – A Japanese consultancy firm, QUNIE CORPORATION (Head Office: Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo; President and CEO: Ken Tsuchihashi; company referred to as QUNIE) has released a report in Japanese on courier delivery capacity on November 30, 2022. This report is based on QUNIE's own estimates of the driver shortage amid the increase in the number of parcel delivery services, aiming to get a picture of the situation and the root cause of shortages expected in the near future in order to develop specific countermeasures. In addition to the number of deliveries and drivers, QUNIE has focused on trucks to forecast delivery capacity through 2030.

As a result, the transportation capacity by trucks is expected to face a shortage of approximately 58,000 drivers by 2030 and a vehicle shortage from 2027 onward to meet the demand for home delivery. (*1)

This report also provides recommendations for alternative measures to tackle "truck capacity shortage" from four perspectives: "environmental issues," "road conditions," "increase in small packages," and "decreasing growth in the number of truck drivers."

 

(*1) "Projected supply" is calculated based on the past five years' actual results given that efforts are made such as to reduce the number of redeliveries associated with the last-mile problem and that the redelivery rate for home delivery can be maintained as of 2022 at a minimum level.

The information such as services, specifications, and contact information contained in this release is current at the date of publication and is subject to change without notice. The plans, objectives, and other statements in this release are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ from those expressed or implied by such statements.
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